Despite massive amounts of nonsense from the Republican elite that Trump cannot beat Hillary, and from Ted Cruz who claims that he is the only one who can, comes two relevant polls to the contrary.
Trump 41%, Clinton 39%
A recent Rasmussen Reports polls says Trump 41%, Clinton 39%
Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.
But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.
Cruz’s Image Plummets, Trump’s Improves Among Republicans
Gallup reports Cruz’s Image Plummets, Trump’s Improves Among Republicans.
Republicans’ views of Cruz are now the worst in Gallup’s history of tracking the Texas senator. His image among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents is at 39% favorable and 45% unfavorable, based on April 24-30 interviewing, for a net favorable score of -6. The last few days have marked the first time we have seen Cruz’s image underwater since we began daily tracking in July.
In sharp contrast to the recent trajectory of Cruz’s image, we find Trump’s image on an upswing in recent days.
The accompanying chart shows the pattern of movement between the two GOP candidates over the past nine months among Republicans — based on net favorable ratings.
Barring a last minute rules change, this campaign is over. Don’t expect a rules change either, given the surge in Trump’s popularity and a plunge in Cruz’s.
Mike “Mish” Shedlock
Tony Bennett said:
Mr Trump better pay his plane/helicopter mechanics well. Just sayin’ …
OFF TOPIC — Just finding it amusing how the Teacher’s Unions “it’s all about the kids” talk stands up to the Detroit school teachers’ sick out (now in it’s 2nd day.)
How many schools are actually left at DPS? Like 98, I think. Seems like nondemand is out stripping the value perceived supply of education.
Are kids in Detroit better off not going to school? Probably a toss-up.
Rasmussen — Didn’t they show that Romney would beat Obama hands down in ’08. Although what is interesting is that its showing The Donald (TM) as leading Cruz — which should not be affected by its bias (apparently Rasmussen polls have between a 1.3% and 5% bias). Granted the source of THAT comment is Nate Silver…not a fan of Rasmusen
Clinton will be indicted; Obama will pardon. Hillary has “health issues”; drops out. Enter Biden, who loses big to Trump. Dual citizen neocons flee to Israel.
Cocoa Blini (@cocoablini) said:
Hillary has amazing image problems. Once she sheds Bernie, which hasn’t been really that easy considering he is an avowed Socialist, Trump will lay it on heavy and big. And now Seymour Hersh has implicated her in a Rat line of arms and Sarin gas to Syria from Libya-now we know her “experience” has a trail of dead bodies. She was a crap Senator who mainly got some buildings dedicated as monuments and did whatever Chuck Schumer told her to do.
She was a crap State Dept.Head-enabling the Saudis to overthrow and control the MiddleEast.
I mean, what does this lady have to do to get these convenience Democrats to drop kick her??
Yeah ‘cus the world is so black and white with tons of easy options. Granted that Hilary has an image problem but Donald has a much much bigger image problem — its called reality! What will the Donald do when there is a debate and he can’t talk about the size of his…hands?
Trump should actually do better when he gets all of the Sanders voters who WANT TO SEE HILLARY LOSE!
Popular vote doesn’t control. Electoral vote does. Trump loses the electoral vote, even if he somehow manages to get win the popular vote, which he won’t.
Electoral vote is indeed what matters
So, please tell us now which states Trump will lose.
Actually, I think you have it ass backwards.
Trump may win the electoral vote even if he loses popular vote
It is a bit premature to make detailed guesses, but since you are so sure, please tell us which states Trump will lose
milbank (@milbank2u) said:
“It is a bit premature to make detailed guesses, but since you are so sure, please tell us which states Trump will lose (sic)”
Here you go, Mish.
Have a nice day.
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