The market does not expect any rate hikes all the way through June of 2017, and in fact beyond. June of 2017 is the furthest CME Rate Hike Calculations go.
Let’s compare market expectations to a “Dot Plot” of Fed governor rate hike expectations.
Rate Hike Expectations for June 2017
Dot Plot of Fed Hike Expectations
@RudyHavenstein@StockCats One brave Fed soul sees only 1 rate hike between now and 2018. The median Fed expectation is for 5 rate hikes.
Disclaimer: The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including advertisements, shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the opinions of sponsors or firms affiliated with the author(s). The author may or may not have a position in any company or advertiser referenced above. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.
9 thoughts on “Market Suggests 76.9% Chance of No Hikes Through June 2017”
Stuki Moisaid:
Considering the realistic alternatives, becoming Japan may well be the, so far, unstated policy goal of the Fed by now.
The problem for most of the rest of the Industrialized world, is that they are missing a key ingredient: The Japanese. Instead they are, for better or worse, stuck with Argentinians. Nice on the soccer field, less so as social unrest and criminalization is concerned.
Prices are going up across the board…until today when the Race War began in earnest. I expect prices to collapse imminently as this “New War” unleashed by the Federal Government on the American People starts ramping up.
I don’t see the bulk of State and Local Governments in the USA remaining solvent for much longer.
Considering the realistic alternatives, becoming Japan may well be the, so far, unstated policy goal of the Fed by now.
Becoming Japan was a forgone conclusion for the rest of the industrialized world. They were leading the way to who knows where.
The problem for most of the rest of the Industrialized world, is that they are missing a key ingredient: The Japanese. Instead they are, for better or worse, stuck with Argentinians. Nice on the soccer field, less so as social unrest and criminalization is concerned.
P H K
Not to belabor the Interest Rate issue….but this article is certainly supportive of Lacy’s position.
FN
Prices are going up across the board…until today when the Race War began in earnest. I expect prices to collapse imminently as this “New War” unleashed by the Federal Government on the American People starts ramping up.
I don’t see the bulk of State and Local Governments in the USA remaining solvent for much longer.
Rate hike(s)?
What are the odds on Yellen heading for NIRPville?
The only tool left in the Fed “toolkit” – “Blah, blah, blahblah, blah, blahblah.”
Expect a lot of it.
Today’s employment report is lifting the odds of a rate hike, still below 50% by all the way out for a year.