French National elections take place in two rounds of voting 2017. Marine le Pen is widely expected to be one of the final two candidates.
Today she praised the UK for choosing their own destiny and repeated her pledge to have a referendum on France’s membership in the EU.
In her first public meeting after a summer break in the tiny village of Brachay in northeastern France, Le Pen portrayed herself as the sole credible defender of law and order and national unity, saying the best way to combat terrorism was the ballot paper.
“This referendum on France belonging to the European Union, I will do it. Yes it is possible to change things. Look at the Brits, they chose their destiny, they chose independence … We can again be a free, proud and independent people,” she said.
Le Pen’s increasingly popular party thrives on anti-Europe and anti-immigration sentiment and opinion polls see her making it to an early May run-off in France’s presidential election, but losing that second round to a mainstream candidate, as a majority of voters do not want her as president.
Can Le Pen Win?
Reuters noted a majority do not want Le Pen to win. That’s true enough because a majority do not want any particular candidate to win.
In the US, a majority do not want Hillary or Trump. Voters will have to make a choice anyway.
Many will claim Frexit is “impossible”. They said the same thing about “Brexit”.
For now, I will go with the majority who believe French socialists would rather see any other candidate than Le Pen.
That is true today. But it may not be true when it matters, next May.
For more on how the 2017 election shapes up, please see French Economy Minister Resigns to “Regain Freedom”; His Political Party “En March”
Mike “Mish” Shedlock
if they did Frexit, an immediate free trade agreement with Blighty would show the others the way and prove that the EU is an unnecessary parasite.
No US presidential candidate since the 19th century has had the support of the majority of the country…
Better re-read your history. Reagan has more than 58% of the vote in 1984.Johnson had 61% in 1962. Then there was Roosevelt.
Well, yes and no. In 1984, for example, it’s true Reagan got 58.77% of the popular vote. But, according to the records, only 53.1% of the voting age population actually voted. So 58.77% of 53.1% is 31.2%, or Reagan was elected by 31.2% of the voting age population. Even if you take registered voters, of which 74.6% turned out in 1984, 58.77% of 74.6% is 43.84%, or Reagan was elected by 43.84% of 1984’s registered voters.
Of course, this cannot come to any conclusions as to whether the ones in each group who did not vote would have went majority for Reagan or not. That cannot be known so we have to count them as “no opinion/don’t care.” So as to the point of whether he was supported actively by a majority of the country, the mathematical answer is “no”. But he definitely won a clear majority of those who gave enough of a s**t to vote and that is all that counts.
Dennis, pyrrhus’s statement is technically tricky. Since only about half or less of registered voters in the US bother to vote, it is almost impossible for a candidate to get half of registered voters to vote for him/her.
You don’t read well do you?
The majority of the vote is very different from the majority of the population.
If the Frogs leave the EU, the EU is toast.
Maybe there is a “domino effect” after all.
“There is a sense that the refugee crisis is over in Calais, when it’s actually the reverse,” Eisendick said.
Latest census figures show a 30% increase in the camp’s population in a month, bringing the total number to more than 9,100. About 70 new people arrive every day, with large numbers coming from Sudan and Afghanistan. Volunteers say they do not have enough tents and blankets to hand out to new arrivals.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/sep/02/calais-refugee-camp-running-out-of-food-as-donor-fatigue-sees-donations-dry-up
You’re flushed if you do (exit with a profit making economic system that is inherently non-self liquidating) or don’t (remain in the financial prison of the EU). The only alternative is a system that enables individual nations to self liquidate and hence be independent from both the dominating Banking system and a coalescing international financial/military system that has no qualms about instigating and/or manipulating economies into war in order to profit and maintain the non-self liquidating system.
Free trade was the biggest benefit of the EU.
The rest? Meh.
WHAT ABOUT AUSTRIA WHERE ELECTIONS WIL TAKE PLACE SOON ?
IF THE RIGHT WINS THEY MAY LEAVE THE EU LIKE BRITAIN
EU SHOULD CREATE MORE JOBS
HOW ?
BUSINESS FRIENDLY LAWS SHOULD BE IMPLEMENTED AND TAX REFORMS SO THAT WE CAN BECOME AN ATTRACTIVE PLACE LIKE THE US OR ASIA
WE SHOULD DEVELOP MORE TRADE WITH AFRICAN COUNTRIES SO THAT THEY CAN LIVE AND STAY AT HOME
THE CURRENTLY MIGRANTS POPULATION MOVEMENTS ARE JEOPARDIZING THE WORLD ORDER / STABILITY AND FUELING FOSTERING POPULIST PARTIES LIKE IN THE 1930 S
BESIDES EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES ARE RELUCTANT TO RECEIVE REFUGEES SAME WITH BRITONS THAT LEFT EU
Stepahne – please do not post in all upper case letters
It is very difficult to read
Mish
Stop shouting, Stephane. It’s very rude.
Talk to the French farmers. They are the reason the trade talks with the third world always break down.
As always the truth gets supressed and spoken only in shadows until one day it hits you in the face with a 2×4.
For example…
http://forum.wordreference.com/threads/africa-starts-at-calais-british-expression-wogs-niggers-begin-at-calais.80778/
Many countries might want out! The Euro-zone has entered the post-Brexit referendum stage that is certain to hold great challenges and increased risk. In my opinion, many people have greatly discounted the test awaiting governments faced with growing opposition to expanding the control of those in Brussels. To make matters worse the recent coup attempt in Turkey has created even more problems for the troubled union.
The growing anti-globalization movement which has gained support in developed countries across the world is very strong in areas of high unemployment and many people would like the option of voting against more political power flowing to a growing power grabbing bureaucracy in Brussels. The article below delves into some of the problems the Euro-zone currently faces.
http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2016/07/euro-zone-post-brexit-is-bit-of-snake.html
“Can Le Pen Win?”
No.
There is good chance that Emmanuel Macron will be president if he choose to race.
I guess a final between Macron and Le Pen